Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boston Red Sox v San Francisco Giants

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 19:16 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 5–4 San Francisco Giants

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 65.36%1.53cote équitable
EV +0.003%
Avantage +0.002%
Kelly +0.005%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.41%65.27%65.48%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.481.5371.43%67.90%67.57%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.64%2.89cote équitable
EV +0.452%
Avantage +0.156%
Kelly +0.238%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%34.73%34.52%36.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.722.722.9039.22%36.70%36.76%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Boston Red Sox (Local) : 65.36% ; San Francisco Giants (Visiteur) : 34.64%. Pour San Francisco Giants (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.89. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.90, soit une espérance positive de +0.452%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%EV +0.452%E +0.156%K +0.238%G +0.001%1.1%2026-08-23 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -0.934%E -0.326%K -0.502%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -0.934%E -0.326%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-23 15:24
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.28%E -0.449%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-23 19:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.28%E -0.449%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 19:14
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.30%E -0.864%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.67%E -0.949%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-23 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.30%E -0.864%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.67%E -0.949%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-23 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 14:20
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 19:09
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 15:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 19:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 11:45
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 16:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -3.36%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 19:08
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -1.30%E -0.864%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -3.70%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-23 19:14
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.70%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 14:19
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.70%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 14:35
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.40%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 19:04
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-23 15:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 15:24
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 15:20
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:14
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:19
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 19:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 19:14
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 11:45
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 02:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.78%E -2.13%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV +0.003%E +0.002%K +0.005%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -6.13%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV +0.003%E +0.002%K +0.005%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -6.13%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 19:14
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -1.30%E -0.864%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -6.13%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 19:14
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV +0.003%E +0.002%K +0.005%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 19:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.30%E -0.864%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.30%E -0.864%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 17:44
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.30%E -0.864%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 19:14
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 19:14
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 19:14
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 19:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 19:04
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 19:03
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 19:04
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.17%E -2.67%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 18:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 17:44
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 18:29
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 18:29
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 18:29
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 18:29
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:14
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.90%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 19:14
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 19:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 17:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 17:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 18:48
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -11.67%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 16:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%0.1%2026-08-23 19:14
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-08-23 19:14
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-23 15:49
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-08-23 19:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-08-23 19:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-08-23 19:14
Matchbook◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-08-23 19:14
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-08-23 19:14
BetOpenly◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%2.1%2026-08-23 19:14