Language:English
Boston Red Sox v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 58.33%1.71fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -3.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%58.34%58.23%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.651.6762.50%60.97%60.61%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 41.67%2.40fair odd
EV -0.820%
Edge -0.344%
Kelly -0.594%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%41.66%41.77%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.302.3845.45%43.73%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 58.33%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 41.67%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -0.820%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -0.820%E -0.344%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 16:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.24%E -0.522%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-05 13:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.24%E -0.522%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.65%E -0.700%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.65%E -0.700%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 13:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.49%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-05 17:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.99%E -2.19%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.99%E -2.19%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 16:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 00:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 00:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 11:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.40%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 17:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 07:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.40%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.40%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.07%E -0.881%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 04:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 05:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 05:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 05:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 05:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 07:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 17:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.07%E -0.881%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 17:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 07:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -5.40%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 17:21 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-05 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 17:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 2.6% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |