L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 17:36 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 58.33%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -3.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.59%58.34%58.23%59.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.641.651.6762.50%60.97%60.61%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.67%2.40cote équitable
EV -0.820%
Avantage -0.344%
Kelly -0.594%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.66%41.66%41.77%42.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.292.302.3845.45%43.73%43.48%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -0.820%E -0.344%K -0.594%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-05 16:14
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.24%E -0.522%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 13:44
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.24%E -0.522%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 17:25
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.65%E -0.700%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 13:44
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.65%E -0.700%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 13:44
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.49%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 17:24
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 20:04
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 02:04
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.99%E -2.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:04
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.99%E -2.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:04
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:00
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 16:59
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 00:44
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 00:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 00:50
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 11:44
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 15:44
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:30
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 16:59
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:15
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:05
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:04
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:04
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:04
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:04
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:04
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:04
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:04
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:04
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:04
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 17:35
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 17:35
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.40%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:34
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 07:14
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.40%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 15:45
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.40%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 15:44
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.07%E -0.881%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 04:08
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 01:44
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 05:25
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 05:24
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 05:25
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 05:24
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 07:14
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 17:15
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 17:35
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 17:24
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 17:34
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.07%E -0.881%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 17:14
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:09
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 07:09
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -5.40%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 17:35
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 15:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.68%E -4.17%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 17:21
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-05 17:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-05 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-05 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-05 17:35
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-05 17:15
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-04-05 17:35
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-04-05 17:35
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-05 17:35
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-05 17:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%2.6%2026-04-05 17:20