Language:English
Boston Red Sox v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 52.92%1.89fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.839%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%53.01%52.95%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.801.8658.82%55.39%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 47.08%2.12fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.544%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%46.99%47.05%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.022.1051.28%49.45%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 52.92%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 47.08%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -1.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.56%E -0.839%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.09%E -1.13%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.08%E -1.00%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.09%E -1.13%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.08%E -1.00%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 18:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.62%E -1.42%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.08%E -1.00%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.62%E -1.42%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.08%E -1.00%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-03 18:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.62%E -1.42%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 18:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.03%E -1.47%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 18:12 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 18:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.73%E -3.95%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 18:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 18:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52% | -0.0% | 2026-04-03 18:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.62% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.38% | 0.3% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-04-03 18:11 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |