Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-04-03 18:21 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 52.92%1.89odd justa
EV -1.56%
Vantagem -0.839%
Kelly -1.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%53.01%52.95%55.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.811.801.8658.82%55.39%55.56%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 47.08%2.12odd justa
EV -1.14%
Vantagem -0.544%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.74%46.99%47.05%48.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.022.022.1051.28%49.45%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 52.92%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 47.08%. Para San Diego Padres (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.12. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.10, com valor esperado de -1.14%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.56%E -0.839%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 18:09
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.09%E -1.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.08%E -1.00%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 18:09
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.09%E -1.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.08%E -1.00%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 18:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.62%E -1.42%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.08%E -1.00%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-03 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.62%E -1.42%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.08%E -1.00%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-03 18:11
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.62%E -1.42%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 18:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:20
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:20
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 18:20
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 18:14
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 18:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 18:19
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.03%E -1.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 18:20
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 18:20
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 18:20
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 18:09
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 18:20
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 18:19
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 18:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 18:19
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 18:12
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 18:08
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 18:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 18:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 18:19
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.73%E -3.95%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 18:11
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 18:19
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 18:19
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 18:20
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 18:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:08
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 18:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-04-03 18:09
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.62%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.38%0.3%2026-04-03 18:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-03 18:20
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-03 18:20
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-03 18:11
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%8.7%2026-04-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%9.0%2026-04-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%9.0%2026-04-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%9.0%2026-04-03 18:20
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%9.6%2026-04-03 18:20