Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-05-13 22:46 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 3–1 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 54.24%1.84odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.710%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%54.14%54.26%55.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.761.751.8258.82%56.89%57.14%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 45.76%2.19odd justa
EV -0.691%
Vantagem -0.318%
Kelly -0.591%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.64%45.86%45.74%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.102.102.1751.28%47.71%47.62%46.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 54.24%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 45.76%. Para Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.19. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.17, com valor esperado de -0.691%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 22:20
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 22:29
Everygame🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 22:24
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 22:29
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-13 22:30
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 11:50
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.47%E -4.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.47%E -4.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 22:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.47%E -4.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 22:45
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.76%E -5.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 22:44
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.27%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 22:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.39%E -4.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 20:59
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 20:44
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 21:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 22:04
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 20:59
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:49
NordicBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Betsson🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.55%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 21:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -0.691%E -0.318%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 22:45
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 21:04
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 20:59
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 20:59
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 20:59
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 11:50
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 22:45
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 21:34
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 01:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 01:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 01:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 01:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 20:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 22:44
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 20:59
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 14:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.42%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.58%-0.3%2026-05-13 22:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-05-13 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-13 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-13 22:45
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-13 21:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-13 22:45
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-05-13 22:45
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-05-13 22:45
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-05-13 22:45
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-05-13 22:45