L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 22:46 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 3–1 Philadelphia Phillies

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 54.24%1.84cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.710%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%54.14%54.26%55.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.761.751.8258.82%56.89%57.14%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.76%2.19cote équitable
EV -0.691%
Avantage -0.318%
Kelly -0.591%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.64%45.86%45.74%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.102.102.1751.28%47.71%47.62%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 22:20
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 22:29
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 22:24
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 22:24
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 22:24
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 22:29
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-13 22:30
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 11:50
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.47%E -4.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.47%E -4.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 22:45
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.47%E -4.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 22:45
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.76%E -5.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 22:44
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.27%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:00
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 22:44
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.39%E -4.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 22:45
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 20:59
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 20:44
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 21:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 22:04
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 20:59
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:49
NordicBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Betsson1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 22:45
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.55%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 21:44
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -0.691%E -0.318%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 22:45
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 21:04
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 20:59
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 20:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 20:59
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 21:59
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 11:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 22:45
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 22:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 21:00
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 21:34
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 01:50
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 01:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 01:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 01:50
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 18:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 20:20
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 22:44
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 20:59
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 14:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.42%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.58%-0.3%2026-05-13 22:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-05-13 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-13 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-13 22:45
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-13 21:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-13 22:45
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-05-13 22:45
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-05-13 22:45
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-05-13 22:45
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-05-13 22:45