La scuola delle quote

Boston Red Sox v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-05-13 22:46 UTC

Finale: Boston Red Sox 3–1 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Casa)

Previsione 54.24%1.84quota equa
EV -1.29%
Vantaggio -0.710%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%54.14%54.26%55.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.761.751.8258.82%56.89%57.14%54.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.76%2.19quota equa
EV -0.691%
Vantaggio -0.318%
Kelly -0.591%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.64%45.86%45.74%48.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.102.102.1751.28%47.71%47.62%46.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 22:20
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 22:29
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 22:24
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 22:24
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 22:24
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.29%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 22:29
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-13 22:30
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 11:50
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.47%E -4.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.47%E -4.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 22:45
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.47%E -4.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 22:45
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.76%E -5.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 22:44
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.27%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:00
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 22:44
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.39%E -4.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 22:45
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 20:59
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 20:44
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 21:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 22:04
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 20:59
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:49
NordicBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Betsson1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 22:45
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.55%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 21:44
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -0.691%E -0.318%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 22:45
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 21:04
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 20:59
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 20:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 20:59
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 21:59
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 11:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 22:45
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 22:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 21:00
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 21:34
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.06%E -0.964%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:45
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 01:50
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 01:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 01:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 01:50
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 18:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 20:20
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 22:44
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 20:59
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 14:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.42%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.58%-0.3%2026-05-13 22:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-05-13 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-13 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-13 22:45
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-13 21:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-13 22:45
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-05-13 22:45
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-05-13 22:45
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-05-13 22:45
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-05-13 22:45