Language:English
Boston Red Sox v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 52.80%1.89fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%52.91%52.74%54.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.801.801.8557.14%55.44%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 47.20%2.12fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.692%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%47.09%47.26%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.042.1551.28%49.13%49.02%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 52.80%; New York Yankees (Visit): 47.20%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +1.49%E +0.692%K +1.29%G +0.019% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +1.49%E +0.692%K +1.29%G +0.019% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV +0.543%E +0.255%K +0.481%G +0.003% | 1.9% | 2026-04-21 22:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV +0.543%E +0.255%K +0.481%G +0.003% | 2.2% | 2026-04-21 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +0.543%E +0.255%K +0.481%G +0.003% | 2.5% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV +0.071%E +0.034%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-21 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.401%E -0.190%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 22:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.873%E -0.416%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 19:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.34%E -0.643%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.82%E -0.873%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -1.82%E -0.873%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 20:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.82%E -0.873%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.76%E -1.34%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.76%E -1.34%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 19:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 15:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.85%E -1.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 20:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 22:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 22:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 19:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.07%E -3.05%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 22:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.48%E -3.82%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 20:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 22:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.4% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96% | 1.7% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 2.4% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |