A Escola das Odds

Boston Red Sox v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-04-21 22:46 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 0–4 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 52.80%1.89odd justa
EV -2.33%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -2.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%52.91%52.74%54.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.801.801.8557.14%55.44%55.56%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 47.20%2.12odd justa
EV +1.49%
Vantagem +0.692%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.57%47.09%47.26%48.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.042.1551.28%49.13%49.02%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +1.49%E +0.692%K +1.29%G +0.019%2.1%2026-04-21 20:50
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +1.49%E +0.692%K +1.29%G +0.019%2.1%2026-04-21 19:05
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV +0.543%E +0.255%K +0.481%G +0.003%1.9%2026-04-21 22:44
theScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV +0.543%E +0.255%K +0.481%G +0.003%2.2%2026-04-21 22:05
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +0.543%E +0.255%K +0.481%G +0.003%2.5%2026-04-21 20:50
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV +0.071%E +0.034%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-21 22:30
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.401%E -0.190%K -0.361%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 22:44
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.873%E -0.416%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 19:04
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.34%E -0.643%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-21 22:45
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.82%E -0.873%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -1.82%E -0.873%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 20:08
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.82%E -0.873%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 22:45
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.76%E -1.34%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.76%E -1.34%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:40
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 19:54
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 14:55
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 19:10
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 21:45
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:25
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 17:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 17:30
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 15:35
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 17:20
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:40
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:40
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:40
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:40
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:40
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:40
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:40
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:40
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:40
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 15:34
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 17:10
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:35
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.85%E -1.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:45
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 22:45
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 19:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 20:49
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 20:50
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:34
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:50
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 15:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 14:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 22:44
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 19:54
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.07%E -3.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 22:34
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:35
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 22:45
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.48%E -3.82%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 22:45
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 22:24
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 19:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 20:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 22:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-21 22:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-04-21 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-04-21 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-04-21 22:45
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-21 22:45
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-04-21 22:40
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-04-21 22:45
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-04-21 22:45
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%2.4%2026-04-21 22:45