Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 22:46 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 46.23%2.16fair odd
EV -0.603%
Edge -0.281%
Kelly -0.525%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.23%46.25%47.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.052.1550.00%48.42%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 53.77%1.86fair odd
EV +0.548%
Edge +0.293%
Kelly +0.630%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.42%53.77%53.75%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.781.781.8758.48%56.27%56.18%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 46.23%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 53.77%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.548%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV +0.548%E +0.293%K +0.630%G +0.003%2.0%2026-04-06 18:10
BetUS🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.53%E -0.717%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-06 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 18:10
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.603%E -0.281%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 22:30
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.603%E -0.281%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.53%E -0.717%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 22:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.53%E -0.717%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 22:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:45
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:44
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:45
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:44
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 22:44
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 22:45
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:20
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:19
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:20
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:20
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:20
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:20
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:20
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 22:40
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:24
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:25
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 21:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 21:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 21:20
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 21:20
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:44
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:35
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:24
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:30
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:40
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:20
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 22:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 22:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 22:40
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 22:30
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 22:19
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -0.603%E -0.281%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -0.603%E -0.281%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:29
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 21:10
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 22:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.603%E -0.281%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.52%E -4.37%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.603%E -0.281%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.52%E -4.37%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 22:30
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.603%E -0.281%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.06%E -4.71%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-04-06 22:45
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%0.6%2026-04-06 22:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-04-06 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-04-06 22:45
BetOpenly2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%0.7%2026-04-06 22:44
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-06 20:10
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-06 22:45
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-04-06 22:45
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-04-06 22:45
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-04-06 22:45