La escuela de los momios

Boston Red Sox v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-04-06 22:46 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 46.23%2.16momio equitativo
EV -0.603%
Ventaja -0.281%
Kelly -0.525%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%46.23%46.25%47.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.072.052.1550.00%48.42%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 53.77%1.86momio equitativo
EV +0.548%
Ventaja +0.293%
Kelly +0.630%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.42%53.77%53.75%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.781.781.8758.48%56.27%56.18%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV +0.548%E +0.293%K +0.630%G +0.003%2.0%2026-04-06 18:10
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.53%E -0.717%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-06 22:30
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 18:10
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.603%E -0.281%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 22:30
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.603%E -0.281%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 22:35
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.53%E -0.717%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 22:29
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.53%E -0.717%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 22:30
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:45
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 21:20
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 21:20
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:45
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:44
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:45
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:44
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 22:44
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 22:45
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:20
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:19
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:20
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:20
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:20
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:20
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:20
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 22:40
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:24
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:25
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 21:20
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 21:20
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 21:20
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 21:20
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:44
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:45
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.29%E -2.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 22:40
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:35
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:24
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:30
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:30
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:40
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:20
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:30
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 22:44
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 22:24
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 22:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 22:19
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 22:19
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 22:20
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 22:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 22:19
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -0.603%E -0.281%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -0.603%E -0.281%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:29
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 21:10
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 22:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.603%E -0.281%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.52%E -4.37%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.603%E -0.281%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.52%E -4.37%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 22:30
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.603%E -0.281%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.06%E -4.71%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-04-06 22:45
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%0.6%2026-04-06 22:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-04-06 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-04-06 22:45
BetOpenly2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%0.7%2026-04-06 22:44
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-06 20:10
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-06 22:45
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-04-06 22:45
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-04-06 22:45
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-04-06 22:45