Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-09-09 22:46 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 4–6 Los Angeles Angels

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 65.48%1.53fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.748%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.51%65.48%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.471.5170.42%68.25%68.03%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 34.52%2.90fair odd
EV -0.229%
Edge -0.079%
Kelly -0.121%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.49%34.52%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.752.8938.46%36.43%36.36%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 65.48%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 34.52%. For Los Angeles Angels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.89, with an expected value of -0.229%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.13%E -0.748%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.99%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-09 00:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 07:24
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.78%E -1.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 15:55
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.78%E -1.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.24%E -3.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.78%E -1.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.24%E -3.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:05
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.26%E -0.442%K -0.680%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.61%E -0.565%K -0.870%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.61%E -0.565%K -0.870%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 16:55
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 04:32
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.68%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 11:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 11:59
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -0.229%E -0.079%K -0.121%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 13:40
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 13:34
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 19:19
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:05
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:04
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:04
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 07:24
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -3.68%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 22:44
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 04:50
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.48%E -2.79%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.48%E -2.79%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 13:47
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.40%E -3.02%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 01:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.40%E -3.02%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.10%E -2.24%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 00:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.40%E -3.02%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.51%E -3.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.40%E -3.02%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.51%E -3.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -2.65%E -0.938%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 05:15
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 13:40
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 13:30
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.03%E -1.45%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 10:48
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.03%E -1.45%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 12:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:19
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.61%E -0.565%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 22:44
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.61%E -0.565%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 12:15
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 03:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 12:19
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 12:15
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.37%E -4.45%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.61%E -0.565%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.37%E -4.45%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -10.24%E -3.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.02%E -4.95%K -16.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 12:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.02%E -4.95%K -16.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26%0.6%2026-09-09 13:05
ProphetX◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-09-09 15:35
BetOpenly◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-09-09 17:15
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-09 12:25
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-09 00:14
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-09-09 14:30