Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Los Angeles Angels

Início: 2026-09-09 22:46 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 4–6 Los Angeles Angels

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 65.48%1.53odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.748%
Kelly -2.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.41%65.51%65.48%66.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.421.471.471.5170.42%68.25%68.03%66.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Previsão 34.52%2.90odd justa
EV -0.229%
Vantagem -0.079%
Kelly -0.121%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.41%34.49%34.52%36.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.742.752.8938.46%36.43%36.36%34.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 65.48%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 34.52%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.90. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.89, com valor esperado de -0.229%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.13%E -0.748%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.99%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-09 00:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 07:24
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.78%E -1.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 15:55
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.78%E -1.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.24%E -3.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.78%E -1.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.24%E -3.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:05
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.26%E -0.442%K -0.680%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.61%E -0.565%K -0.870%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.61%E -0.565%K -0.870%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 16:55
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 04:32
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.68%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 11:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.44%E -1.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 11:59
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -0.229%E -0.079%K -0.121%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 13:40
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 13:34
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 19:19
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:05
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:04
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:04
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 07:24
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -3.68%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 22:44
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 04:50
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.48%E -2.79%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.48%E -2.79%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 13:47
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.40%E -3.02%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 01:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.40%E -3.02%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.10%E -2.24%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 00:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.40%E -3.02%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.51%E -3.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.40%E -3.02%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.51%E -3.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -2.65%E -0.938%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 05:15
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 13:40
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 13:30
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.03%E -1.45%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 10:48
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.03%E -1.45%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 12:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:19
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.61%E -0.565%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 22:44
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.61%E -0.565%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 12:15
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 03:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 12:19
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.71%E -3.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 12:15
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.37%E -4.45%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.61%E -0.565%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.37%E -4.45%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -10.24%E -3.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.02%E -4.95%K -16.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 12:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.02%E -4.95%K -16.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26%0.6%2026-09-09 13:05
ProphetX◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-09-09 15:35
BetOpenly◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-09-09 17:15
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-09 12:25
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-09 00:14
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-09-09 14:30