A Escola das Odds

Boston Red Sox v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-05-01 23:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 3–1 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 52.44%1.91odd justa
EV -1.93%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.32%52.47%52.47%53.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.821.821.8757.14%55.02%54.95%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 47.56%2.10odd justa
EV -1.56%
Vantagem -0.754%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%47.53%47.53%48.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.942.012.012.0751.55%49.66%49.63%48.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%EV -1.93%E -1.03%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%EV -1.56%E -0.754%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-01 22:29
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.93%E -1.03%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.04%E -0.988%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 19:30
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.93%E -1.03%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 22:55
Everygame1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.45%E -1.32%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.04%E -0.988%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-01 20:54
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.45%E -1.32%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.04%E -0.988%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-01 20:50
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.45%E -1.32%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-01 20:50
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.45%E -1.32%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-01 20:50
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.98%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.56%E -0.754%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 20:29
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.98%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:55
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.98%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:55
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.98%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.50%E -1.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 20:49
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.50%E -1.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.79%E -3.47%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 23:09
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 20:34
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 21:15
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 12:45
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 20:04
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 20:54
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 16:54
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 20:46
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 22:34
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 22:34
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:10
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 22:49
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 20:39
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 23:08
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 20:10
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:30
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.36%E -2.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 20:54
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.74%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 23:10
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.08%E -2.80%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.04%E -0.988%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 22:59
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.08%E -2.80%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 12:45
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.08%E -2.80%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 08:39
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 22:59
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 12:45
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 12:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 16:24
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 12:54
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 12:54
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 20:44
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 23:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:59
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:00
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:00
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:00
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:00
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:59
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:59
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.36%E -2.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 22:59
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.65%E -3.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 22:59
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.65%E -3.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 23:00
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.65%E -3.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 22:59
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.65%E -3.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.22%E -4.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 22:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-01 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-01 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-01 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-01 23:04
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-05-01 23:09
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-01 18:25
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-01 16:44
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-05-01 23:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%1.8%2026-05-01 23:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-01 22:55