L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 23:11 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 3–1 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 52.44%1.91cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.32%52.47%52.47%53.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.821.821.8757.14%55.02%54.95%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.56%2.10cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.754%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.05%47.53%47.53%48.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.012.012.0751.55%49.66%49.63%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%EV -1.93%E -1.03%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%EV -1.56%E -0.754%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-01 22:29
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.93%E -1.03%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.04%E -0.988%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 19:30
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.93%E -1.03%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 22:55
Everygame1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.45%E -1.32%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.04%E -0.988%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-01 20:54
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.45%E -1.32%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.04%E -0.988%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-01 20:50
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.45%E -1.32%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-01 20:50
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.45%E -1.32%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-01 20:50
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.98%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.56%E -0.754%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 20:29
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.98%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:55
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.98%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:55
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.98%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.50%E -1.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 20:49
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.50%E -1.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.79%E -3.47%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 23:09
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 20:34
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 21:15
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 12:45
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 20:04
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 20:54
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 16:54
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 20:46
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 22:34
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 22:34
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:10
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 22:49
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 20:39
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 23:08
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 20:10
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:30
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.36%E -2.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 20:54
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.74%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 23:10
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.08%E -2.80%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.04%E -0.988%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 22:59
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.08%E -2.80%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 12:45
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.08%E -2.80%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 08:39
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 22:59
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 12:45
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 12:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 16:24
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 12:54
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 12:54
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 20:44
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 23:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:59
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:00
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:00
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:00
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:00
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:59
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:59
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.36%E -2.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 22:59
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.65%E -3.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 22:59
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.65%E -3.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 23:00
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.65%E -3.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 22:59
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.65%E -3.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.22%E -4.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 22:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-01 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-01 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-01 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-01 23:04
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-05-01 23:09
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-01 18:25
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-01 16:44
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-05-01 23:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%1.8%2026-05-01 23:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-01 22:55