La escuela de los momios

Boston Red Sox v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-05-01 23:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 3–1 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 52.44%1.91momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.32%52.47%52.47%53.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.821.821.8757.14%55.02%54.95%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 47.56%2.10momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.754%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%47.53%47.53%48.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.012.012.0751.55%49.66%49.63%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%EV -1.93%E -1.03%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%EV -1.56%E -0.754%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-01 22:29
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.93%E -1.03%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.04%E -0.988%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 19:30
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.93%E -1.03%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 22:55
Everygame1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.45%E -1.32%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.04%E -0.988%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-01 20:54
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.45%E -1.32%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.04%E -0.988%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-01 20:50
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.45%E -1.32%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-01 20:50
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.45%E -1.32%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-01 20:50
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.98%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.56%E -0.754%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 20:29
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.98%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:55
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.98%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:55
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.98%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.50%E -1.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 20:49
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.50%E -1.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.79%E -3.47%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 23:09
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 20:34
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 21:15
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 12:45
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 20:04
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 20:54
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 16:54
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 20:46
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 22:34
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 22:34
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:10
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.03%E -2.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 22:49
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 20:39
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 23:08
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 20:10
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:30
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.36%E -2.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 20:54
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.55%E -2.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.74%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 23:10
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.08%E -2.80%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.04%E -0.988%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 22:59
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.08%E -2.80%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 12:45
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.08%E -2.80%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 08:39
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 22:59
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 12:45
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 12:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 16:24
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 12:54
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 12:54
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 20:44
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 23:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:59
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:00
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:00
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:00
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:00
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:59
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:59
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.36%E -2.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 22:59
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.65%E -3.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 22:59
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.65%E -3.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 23:00
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.65%E -3.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 22:59
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.65%E -3.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.22%E -4.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 22:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-01 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-01 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-01 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-01 23:04
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-05-01 23:09
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-01 18:25
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-01 16:44
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-05-01 23:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%1.8%2026-05-01 23:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-01 22:55