Language:English
Boston Red Sox v Chicago White Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 64.25%1.56fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.690%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.18%64.33%65.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5469.44%66.91%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago White Sox (Visit)
Prediction 35.75%2.80fair odd
EV +1.19%
Edge +0.419%
Kelly +0.648%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.49%35.82%35.67%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.652.8340.00%37.75%37.74%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 64.25%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 35.75%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +1.19%E +0.419%K +0.648%G +0.008% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV +0.828%E +0.293%K +0.455%G +0.004% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV +0.828%E +0.293%K +0.455%G +0.004% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV +0.828%E +0.293%K +0.455%G +0.004% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV +0.828%E +0.293%K +0.455%G +0.004% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%EV -1.70%E -1.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%EV +0.113%E +0.040%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -0.245%E -0.088%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -1.32%E -0.477%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -1.32%E -0.477%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.68%E -0.609%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.68%E -0.609%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.68%E -0.609%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.06%E -0.690%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.06%E -0.690%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 23:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.18%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.54%E -1.70%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 22:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 22:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 22:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -1.06%E -0.690%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -5.97%E -2.27%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -1.06%E -0.690%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -5.97%E -2.27%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 20:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.70%E -1.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.70%E -1.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.35%E -1.54%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:06 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.61%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 23:11 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |