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Boston Red Sox v Chicago White Sox
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Predicción 64.25%1.56momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.690%
Kelly -1.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%64.18%64.33%65.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.491.501.5469.44%66.91%66.67%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago White Sox (Visitante)
Predicción 35.75%2.80momio equitativo
EV +1.19%
Ventaja +0.419%
Kelly +0.648%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.49%35.82%35.67%37.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.652.652.8340.00%37.75%37.74%35.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Boston Red Sox (Local): 64.25%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 35.75%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.80. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.83, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.19%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +1.19%E +0.419%K +0.648%G +0.008% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV +0.828%E +0.293%K +0.455%G +0.004% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV +0.828%E +0.293%K +0.455%G +0.004% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV +0.828%E +0.293%K +0.455%G +0.004% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV +0.828%E +0.293%K +0.455%G +0.004% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%EV -1.70%E -1.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%EV +0.113%E +0.040%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -0.245%E -0.088%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -1.32%E -0.477%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -1.32%E -0.477%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.68%E -0.609%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.68%E -0.609%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.68%E -0.609%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.06%E -0.690%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.06%E -0.690%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 23:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.18%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.54%E -1.70%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 22:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 22:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 22:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -1.06%E -0.690%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -5.97%E -2.27%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -1.06%E -0.690%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -5.97%E -2.27%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 20:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.70%E -1.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.70%E -1.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.35%E -1.54%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:06 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.83%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.61%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 23:11 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |