The School of Odds

Boston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles

2026-07-20 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 57.05%1.75fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.755%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%57.07%57.11%58.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.641.681.681.7361%59%60%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 42.95%2.33fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.578%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.58%42.93%42.89%44.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.122.212.202.3647%45%45%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +1.36%E +0.578%K +1.00%G +0.014%1.9%2026-07-20 13:40
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.783%E -0.339%K -0.598%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 12:10
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.21%E -0.527%K -0.933%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-20 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.21%E -0.527%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-20 12:05
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.21%E -0.527%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:30
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.64%E -0.717%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.07%E -0.909%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-20 11:30
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.07%E -0.909%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-20 11:30
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 11:30
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-20 13:05
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-20 12:40
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-20 12:04
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 12:04
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 12:25
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 12:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 12:25
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 09:50
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:40
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.44%E -3.93%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 13:55
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 13:30
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 12:05
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 09:50
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.65%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 09:54
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.65%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 13:30
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 04:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 22:50
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 12:50
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 09:55
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 12:25
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 09:55
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 09:50
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 09:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:39
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 09:55
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 09:55
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 09:55
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 10:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 09:49
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 09:49
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 13:28
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 00:15
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 13:28
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 13:30
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 09:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 09:55
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.88%E -1.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.80%E -3.13%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 13:30
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.88%E -1.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.80%E -3.13%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.88%E -1.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.80%E -3.13%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 13:30
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.88%E -1.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.80%E -3.13%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 13:30
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.80%E -3.13%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 11:15
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:30
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:30
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:30
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:30
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -1.31%E -0.755%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 04:50
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:30
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 04:49
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.44%E -3.93%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 13:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.44%E -3.93%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 13:30
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.94%E -4.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-07-20 12:35
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-07-20 13:55
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-07-20 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-20 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-20 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-20 13:50
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-20 09:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-20 13:30
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-07-20 13:05
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-07-20 13:50