Language:English
Boston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 59.39%1.68fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.64%59.32%59.49%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.601.601.6564.52%62.32%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 40.61%2.46fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.449%
Kelly +0.750%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.68%40.51%42.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.362.352.4946.51%42.41%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 59.39%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 40.61%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV +1.12%E +0.449%K +0.750%G +0.008% | 2.7% | 2026-07-20 23:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.100%E -0.041%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-20 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.507%E -0.207%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.507%E -0.207%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.507%E -0.207%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.507%E -0.207%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.507%E -0.207%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.507%E -0.207%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.507%E -0.207%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.60%E -1.59%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.32%E -0.543%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-20 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -1.72%E -0.713%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-20 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.13%E -0.884%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-20 22:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-20 21:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-20 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-20 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.94%E -5.13%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-20 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -2.94%E -1.23%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-20 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.16%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 22:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.01%E -1.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-20 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-20 15:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-20 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-20 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.97%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.38%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-20 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.38%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-20 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.38%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-20 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.38%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-20 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.38%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.38%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.01%E -1.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-20 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.41%E -3.25%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-20 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.63%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.63%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.63%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-20 23:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.63%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-20 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.63%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.66%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -12.69%E -5.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-07-20 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18% | 0.9% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59% | 2.6% | 2026-07-20 23:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41% | 3.2% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |