A Escola das Odds

Boston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-07-20 23:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 6–5 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 59.39%1.68odd justa
EV -2.01%
Vantagem -1.22%
Kelly -3.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.64%59.32%59.49%60.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.601.601.6564.52%62.32%62.50%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 40.61%2.46odd justa
EV +1.12%
Vantagem +0.449%
Kelly +0.750%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.05%40.68%40.51%42.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.362.352.4946.51%42.41%42.55%40.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV +1.12%E +0.449%K +0.750%G +0.008%2.7%2026-07-20 23:09
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.100%E -0.041%K -0.069%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-20 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.507%E -0.207%K -0.349%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 22:50
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.507%E -0.207%K -0.349%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 22:50
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.507%E -0.207%K -0.349%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 22:50
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.507%E -0.207%K -0.349%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 22:50
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.507%E -0.207%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:09
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.507%E -0.207%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.507%E -0.207%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:10
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.60%E -1.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.32%E -0.543%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 22:35
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -1.72%E -0.713%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 23:09
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.13%E -0.884%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-20 22:20
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-20 21:29
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-20 22:50
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-20 22:20
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 22:50
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.94%E -5.13%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 22:20
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -2.94%E -1.23%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 22:30
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:10
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:10
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:10
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:10
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:10
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:10
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:10
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.16%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 22:34
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.01%E -1.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-20 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 15:45
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 23:00
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 21:30
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:50
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:50
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:10
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:45
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:50
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 22:50
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 23:09
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.97%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:50
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.38%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.38%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 22:55
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.38%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.38%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 22:55
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.38%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 21:30
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.38%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 21:30
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:55
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:55
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.01%E -1.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 23:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 15:45
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 22:50
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.41%E -3.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.63%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 23:10
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.63%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 23:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.63%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 23:04
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.63%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 23:00
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.63%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.66%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -12.69%E -5.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-07-20 22:00
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%0.9%2026-07-20 23:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-20 23:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-20 23:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-20 23:10
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-20 23:10
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%2.6%2026-07-20 23:09
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%3.2%2026-07-20 23:10