Language:English
Boston Red Sox v Athletics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 71.21%1.40fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.51%71.40%71.11%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.331.331.3878.74%75.07%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Athletics (Visit)
Prediction 28.79%3.47fair odd
EV +11.43%
Edge +2.95%
Kelly +3.98%
Growth +0.455%
assuming max odds 3.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%28.60%28.89%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.293.303.8732.79%30.36%30.30%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 71.21%; Athletics (Visit): 28.79%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.00%EV -8.14%E -6.31%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 25.00%EV +11.43%E +2.95%K +3.98%G +0.455% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.57%E -7.53%K -35.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +3.65%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.051% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.86%E -6.92%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +2.22%E +0.624%K +0.869%G +0.019% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.58%E -3.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.775%E +0.222%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.01%E -4.55%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.775%E +0.222%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 20:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV +0.200%E +0.057%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV -0.088%E -0.025%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.664%E -0.193%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 20:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV -0.952%E -0.277%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV -0.952%E -0.277%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.43%E -5.72%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.10%E -0.619%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.57%E -7.53%K -35.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.10%E -0.619%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.58%E -3.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -2.68%E -0.793%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.58%E -3.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.01%E -4.55%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 20:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -3.83%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -4.41%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -1.73%E -1.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 19:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 19:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 19:53 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 16:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 19:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.43%E -5.72%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.58%E -3.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.13%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.58%E -3.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.58%E -3.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 19:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.01%E -4.55%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.01%E -4.55%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.01%E -4.55%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.01%E -4.55%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.43%E -5.72%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 20:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -7.43%E -5.72%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.41%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -7.43%E -5.72%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.41%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 15:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.58%E -3.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.43%E -5.72%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 19:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 09:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 20:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.10% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.90% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.07% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.93% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.19% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.81% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |