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Boston Red Sox v Athletics
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Predicción 71.21%1.40momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -4.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.51%71.40%71.11%75.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.271.331.331.3878.74%75.07%75.19%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Athletics (Visitante)
Predicción 28.79%3.47momio equitativo
EV +11.43%
Ventaja +2.95%
Kelly +3.98%
Crecimiento +0.455%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%28.60%28.89%30.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.293.303.8732.79%30.36%30.30%25.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Boston Red Sox (Local): 71.21%; Athletics (Visitante): 28.79%. Para Athletics (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.47. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.87, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.43%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.00%EV -8.14%E -6.31%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 25.00%EV +11.43%E +2.95%K +3.98%G +0.455% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.57%E -7.53%K -35.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +3.65%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.051% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.86%E -6.92%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +2.22%E +0.624%K +0.869%G +0.019% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.58%E -3.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.775%E +0.222%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.01%E -4.55%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.775%E +0.222%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 20:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV +0.200%E +0.057%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV -0.088%E -0.025%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.664%E -0.193%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 20:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV -0.952%E -0.277%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV -0.952%E -0.277%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.43%E -5.72%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.10%E -0.619%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.57%E -7.53%K -35.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.10%E -0.619%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.58%E -3.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -2.68%E -0.793%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.58%E -3.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.01%E -4.55%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 20:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -3.83%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -4.41%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -1.73%E -1.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 19:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 19:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 19:53 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 16:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 19:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.43%E -5.72%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.58%E -3.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.13%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.58%E -3.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.58%E -3.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 19:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.01%E -4.55%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.01%E -4.55%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.01%E -4.55%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.01%E -4.55%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.43%E -5.72%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 20:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -7.43%E -5.72%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.41%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -7.43%E -5.72%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.41%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 15:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.16%E -2.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.87%E -2.87%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.58%E -3.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.43%E -5.72%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.29%E -3.98%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 19:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 09:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 20:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.10% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.90% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.07% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.93% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.19% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.81% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 20:10 |