Language:English
Baltimore Orioles v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 51.01%1.96fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.538%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%51.04%51.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9455.56%53.26%53.19%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 48.99%2.04fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.96%48.95%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.942.0053.48%51.54%51.55%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 51.01%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 48.99%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.94, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.04%E -0.538%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-27 22:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.04%E -0.538%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-27 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.55%E -0.805%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-27 22:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.55%E -0.805%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-27 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.55%E -0.805%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-27 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.55%E -0.805%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.55%E -0.805%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-27 20:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.55%E -0.805%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.96%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.51%E -1.26%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-27 20:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.96%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-27 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.45%E -2.82%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.45%E -2.82%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-27 19:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.39%E -4.48%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-27 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.08%E -1.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-27 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.08%E -1.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.45%E -2.82%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-27 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.10%E -2.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.49%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-27 20:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.10%E -2.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 22:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.10%E -2.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.10%E -2.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.10%E -2.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-27 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-27 21:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 19:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 20:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 15:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 15:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 17:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.96%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.96%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.39%E -4.48%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.12%E -2.76%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.98%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-27 20:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.98%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 20:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.98%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 20:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 20:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 20:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-27 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-27 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-27 15:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.92%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-27 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.90%E -4.20%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-27 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.14%E -3.34%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.98%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -6.65%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -2.51%E -1.26%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-27 20:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.65%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-27 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.16%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.96%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-27 20:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.18%E -4.55%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 21:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.18%E -4.55%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.49%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-27 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.18%E -4.55%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-06-27 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-06-27 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-06-27 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-06-27 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-06-27 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-06-27 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-06-27 15:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-06-27 20:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-06-27 22:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10% | 2.3% | 2026-06-27 22:50 |