Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-06-27 23:06 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 3–4 Washington Nationals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 51.01%1.96odd justa
EV -1.04%
Vantagem -0.538%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.47%51.04%51.05%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.881.9455.56%53.26%53.19%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 48.99%2.04odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -2.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.96%48.95%50.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.941.942.0053.48%51.54%51.55%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 51.01%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 48.99%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.96. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.94, com valor esperado de -1.04%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.04%E -0.538%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-27 22:49
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.04%E -0.538%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-27 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.55%E -0.805%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-27 22:30
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.55%E -0.805%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-27 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.55%E -0.805%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-27 22:30
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.55%E -0.805%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-27 22:39
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.55%E -0.805%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-27 20:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.55%E -0.805%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.96%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-27 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.51%E -1.26%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-27 20:20
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.96%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.45%E -2.82%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.45%E -2.82%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 22:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 19:30
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.39%E -4.48%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 22:59
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.08%E -1.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 15:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.08%E -1.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:39
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.45%E -2.82%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 22:49
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:40
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:40
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:39
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:39
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.59%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.10%E -2.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.49%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.10%E -2.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.10%E -2.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:39
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.10%E -2.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 22:39
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.10%E -2.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 22:39
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-27 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 21:09
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 19:39
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 20:29
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 15:49
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 15:49
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 17:29
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.96%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.96%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 16:00
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.39%E -4.48%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.12%E -2.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.98%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 20:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.98%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 20:30
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.98%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 20:29
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 20:30
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 20:29
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 15:59
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.92%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.63%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.90%E -4.20%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.14%E -3.34%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.98%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 20:09
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -6.65%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -2.51%E -1.26%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-27 20:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.65%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.16%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.96%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 20:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.18%E -4.55%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 21:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.18%E -4.55%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.49%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.18%E -4.55%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.43%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-06-27 23:00
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-27 19:40
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-27 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-27 22:40
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-27 15:50
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-27 20:50
BetOpenly1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-06-27 22:59
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%2.3%2026-06-27 22:50