Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles v Tampa Bay Rays

Kickoff: 2026-05-27 22:40 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 11–2 Tampa Bay Rays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 46.59%2.15fair odd
EV -0.287%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.252%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.55%46.58%46.75%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.062.052.1450.00%48.56%48.66%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 53.41%1.87fair odd
EV -0.666%
Edge -0.358%
Kelly -0.775%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.42%53.25%54.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.791.781.8657.14%56.00%56.18%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 46.59%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 53.41%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.14, with an expected value of -0.287%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.287%E -0.134%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.40%E -2.46%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-27 22:29
BetUS🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.753%E -0.353%K -0.666%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-27 22:19
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.22%E -0.575%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.80%E -1.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-27 22:30
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.22%E -0.575%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.80%E -1.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-27 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.68%E -0.798%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.80%E -1.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.68%E -0.798%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.80%E -1.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 22:29
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 21:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 21:59
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 21:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 21:59
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.20%E -0.649%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-27 22:10
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.40%E -2.46%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.94%E -2.77%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.94%E -2.77%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:00
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 22:30
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.666%E -0.358%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-27 21:59
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 22:00
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 22:00
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 21:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 22:00
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 21:59
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 21:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 22:30
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 22:29
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 22:00
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:59
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 22:00
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:00
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 21:49
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:20
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 21:50
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 21:49
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:00
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.94%E -2.77%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:59
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.94%E -2.77%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.94%E -2.77%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 22:00
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 22:19
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.01%E -3.41%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 21:59
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:30
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 21:59
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 21:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 22:29
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.40%E -2.46%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 21:59
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.40%E -2.46%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.34%E -3.16%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 22:00
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 22:29
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.94%E -2.77%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 22:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.01%E -3.41%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 22:19
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 21:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%0.3%2026-05-27 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-05-27 22:30
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-27 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-27 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-27 22:30
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%0.8%2026-05-27 22:30
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-27 22:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-05-27 21:50
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-05-27 22:29
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-27 22:30