La escuela de los momios

Baltimore Orioles v Tampa Bay Rays

Inicio: 2026-05-27 22:40 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 11–2 Tampa Bay Rays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Predicción 46.59%2.15momio equitativo
EV -0.287%
Ventaja -0.134%
Kelly -0.252%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.55%46.58%46.75%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.062.052.1450.00%48.56%48.66%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 53.41%1.87momio equitativo
EV -0.666%
Ventaja -0.358%
Kelly -0.775%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%53.42%53.25%54.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.791.781.8657.14%56.00%56.18%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.287%E -0.134%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.40%E -2.46%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-27 22:29
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.753%E -0.353%K -0.666%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-27 22:19
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.22%E -0.575%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.80%E -1.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-27 22:30
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.22%E -0.575%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.80%E -1.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-27 22:30
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.68%E -0.798%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.80%E -1.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 22:30
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.68%E -0.798%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.80%E -1.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 22:29
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 21:49
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 21:59
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 21:48
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 21:59
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.20%E -0.649%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-27 22:10
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.40%E -2.46%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 21:50
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.94%E -2.77%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:00
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.94%E -2.77%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:00
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 22:30
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.666%E -0.358%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-27 21:59
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 22:00
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 22:00
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 22:00
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 21:59
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 22:00
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 21:59
Bally Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 21:59
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 22:30
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 22:29
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:59
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 22:00
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:59
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 22:00
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:00
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 21:49
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:20
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 21:50
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:10
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:09
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 21:49
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:00
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.94%E -2.77%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.94%E -2.77%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.94%E -2.77%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 22:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 22:19
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 22:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.01%E -3.41%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 21:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:00
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:00
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:00
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:30
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 21:59
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 21:59
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 22:29
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.40%E -2.46%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 21:59
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.40%E -2.46%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:00
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.34%E -3.16%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 22:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 22:29
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 22:29
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.94%E -2.77%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 22:10
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 22:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.01%E -3.41%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 22:19
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 21:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%0.3%2026-05-27 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-05-27 22:30
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-27 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-27 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-27 22:30
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%0.8%2026-05-27 22:30
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-27 22:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-05-27 21:50
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-05-27 22:29
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-27 22:30