Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-06-10 22:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 7–2 Seattle Mariners

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 49.59%2.02fair odd
EV -0.816%
Edge -0.408%
Kelly -0.816%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.53%49.61%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.931.932.0053.48%51.79%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 50.41%1.98fair odd
EV -0.192%
Edge -0.097%
Kelly -0.196%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.47%50.39%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.891.891.9854.95%53.03%52.91%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 49.59%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 50.41%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.984. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.980, with an expected value of -0.192%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -0.816%E -0.408%K -0.816%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -5.23%E -2.78%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-10 20:40
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.70%E -0.874%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 22:30
Everygame🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.71%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.21%E -1.14%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.21%E -1.14%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:30
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.21%E -1.14%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:30
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.21%E -1.14%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:20
LeoVegas🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:00
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:50
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:50
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:50
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -7.25%E -3.94%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -7.25%E -3.94%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 22:20
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.70%E -0.874%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:29
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-10 20:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.22%E -2.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 20:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:48
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:49
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 22:20
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.79%E -1.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -0.192%E -0.097%K -0.196%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.79%E -1.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 14:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.29%E -2.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.29%E -2.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.23%E -2.78%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 21:09
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.29%E -2.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.29%E -2.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.29%E -2.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 20:40
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.22%E -2.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 21:10
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.23%E -2.78%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.24%E -3.36%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.24%E -3.36%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 20:50
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:20
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 15:10
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 14:20
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 22:20
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 20:49
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 21:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 21:10
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 14:20
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:20
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.25%E -3.94%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.77%E -3.60%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.77%E -3.60%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.26%E -4.54%K -10.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-10 22:09
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.88%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-06-10 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-06-10 22:30
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-06-10 22:30
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-06-10 22:30
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-10 20:50
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-10 22:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-06-10 22:30