Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-06-10 22:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 7–2 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 49.59%2.02odd justa
EV -0.816%
Vantagem -0.408%
Kelly -0.816%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%49.53%49.61%50.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.931.932.0053.48%51.79%51.81%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 50.41%1.98odd justa
EV -0.192%
Vantagem -0.097%
Kelly -0.196%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.47%50.47%50.39%51.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.891.891.9854.95%53.03%52.91%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 49.59%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 50.41%. Para Seattle Mariners (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.984. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.980, com valor esperado de -0.192%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -0.816%E -0.408%K -0.816%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -5.23%E -2.78%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-10 20:40
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.70%E -0.874%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 22:30
Everygame🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.71%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.21%E -1.14%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.21%E -1.14%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:30
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.21%E -1.14%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:30
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.21%E -1.14%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:20
LeoVegas🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:00
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:50
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:50
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:50
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -7.25%E -3.94%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -7.25%E -3.94%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 22:20
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.70%E -0.874%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 22:29
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-10 20:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.22%E -2.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 20:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:48
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:49
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 22:20
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.79%E -1.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -0.192%E -0.097%K -0.196%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.79%E -1.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 14:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.29%E -2.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.29%E -2.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.23%E -2.78%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 21:09
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.29%E -2.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.29%E -2.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.29%E -2.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 20:40
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.22%E -2.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 21:10
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.23%E -2.78%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.24%E -3.36%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.24%E -3.36%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 20:50
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:20
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 15:10
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 14:20
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 22:20
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 20:49
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 21:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.28%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.74%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 21:10
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 14:20
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:20
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.78%E -3.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.25%E -3.94%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.77%E -3.60%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.77%E -3.60%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.26%E -4.54%K -10.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-10 22:09
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.88%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 20:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-06-10 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-06-10 22:30
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-06-10 22:30
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-06-10 22:30
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-10 20:50
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-10 22:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-06-10 22:30