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Baltimore Orioles v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 52.50%1.90fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%52.61%52.43%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.811.801.8657.14%55.22%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 47.50%2.11fair odd
EV -0.732%
Edge -0.350%
Kelly -0.671%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%47.39%47.57%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.022.022.0951.55%49.44%49.50%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 52.50%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 47.50%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.09, with an expected value of -0.732%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.68%E -0.812%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-13 19:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-13 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.21%E -0.580%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-13 19:31 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-13 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-13 16:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.39%E -1.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.732%E -0.350%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-13 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.39%E -1.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 13:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 20:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.38%E -3.79%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-13 18:11 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.21%E -0.580%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-13 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.48%E -2.75%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-13 20:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.58%E -1.76%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-13 19:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-13 19:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-13 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-13 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-13 12:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-13 17:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-13 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.53%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-13 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 16:51 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 13:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.91%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.38%E -3.79%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-13 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.38%E -3.79%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-13 19:58 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 20:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 20:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 19:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 19:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.54%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.11%E -1.52%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 19:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.54%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.11%E -1.52%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.54%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.11%E -1.52%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.54%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.11%E -1.52%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 20:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.07%E -3.99%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-13 19:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.59%E -4.31%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-13 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88% | 0.1% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-06-13 20:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-13 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-13 20:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-13 20:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-13 20:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-13 20:01 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23% | 1.1% | 2026-06-13 20:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45% | 2.3% | 2026-06-13 19:30 |