La scuola delle quote

Baltimore Orioles v San Diego Padres

Inizio: 2026-06-13 20:06 UTC

Finale: Baltimore Orioles 3–9 San Diego Padres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Casa)

Previsione 52.50%1.90quota equa
EV -2.34%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -2.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.59%52.61%52.43%53.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.811.801.8657.14%55.22%55.56%53.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.50%2.11quota equa
EV -0.732%
Vantaggio -0.350%
Kelly -0.671%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.05%47.39%47.57%48.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.942.022.022.0951.55%49.44%49.50%47.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.68%E -0.812%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 19:30
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 20:00
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 19:00
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 20:00
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 20:00
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.21%E -0.580%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 19:31
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 16:30
Everygame1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.39%E -1.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.732%E -0.350%K -0.671%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-13 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.39%E -1.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 20:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 13:30
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 20:00
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 20:00
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 20:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 20:00
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 20:01
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 20:00
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.38%E -3.79%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 18:11
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.21%E -0.580%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-13 20:00
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 20:00
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 20:00
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.48%E -2.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 20:01
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.58%E -1.76%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 19:39
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 20:00
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 19:50
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 12:50
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 12:50
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 17:20
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 14:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 20:00
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 19:30
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 15:29
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.53%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:30
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 16:51
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 16:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 16:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 13:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 20:00
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.91%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-13 20:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.38%E -3.79%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 17:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.38%E -3.79%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 19:58
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 20:00
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 20:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 19:50
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 20:01
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 19:50
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 19:50
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 20:00
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 20:00
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 20:00
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.54%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.11%E -1.52%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 19:50
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.54%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.11%E -1.52%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 20:00
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.54%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.11%E -1.52%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.54%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.11%E -1.52%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 20:01
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.07%E -3.99%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 19:59
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.59%E -4.31%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 15:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%0.1%2026-06-13 20:00
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-13 20:01
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-06-13 20:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-13 17:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-13 20:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-13 20:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-13 20:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-13 20:01
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.1%2026-06-13 20:00
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%2.3%2026-06-13 19:30