The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Baltimore Orioles v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-31 23:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 52.30%1.91fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%52.29%52.22%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.811.811.8757.14%55.13%55.25%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 47.70%2.10fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.845%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%47.71%47.78%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.921.992.002.0652.08%50.18%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.20%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.74%E -0.845%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 00:03
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 23:49
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 23:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 23:45
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 23:44
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 23:45
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:44
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:44
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:04
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 00:05
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 23:50
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 23:54
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:40
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:38
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:45
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:50
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:49
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 23:43
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 23:43
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 23:44
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -8.42%E -4.38%K -9.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-30 23:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-30 23:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-31 00:05
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%10.1%2026-07-30 23:45
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%10.8%2026-07-31 00:05
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 51.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.75%10.9%2026-07-31 01:05