默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Baltimore Orioles v Philadelphia Phillies

开赛时间: 2026-07-31 23:06 UTC

最终结果: Baltimore Orioles 6–4 Philadelphia Phillies

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Baltimore Orioles (主队)

预测 52.28%1.91公平赔率
EV -1.20%
优势 -0.632%
Kelly -1.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.89

博彩公司预测分布
51.32%52.33%52.24%53.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.741.821.821.8957.47%54.89%54.95%52.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 47.72%2.10公平赔率
EV +0.217%
优势 +0.103%
Kelly +0.197%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
46.70%47.67%47.76%48.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.942.012.002.1051.55%49.79%50.00%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Baltimore Orioles (主队):52.28%;Philadelphia Phillies (客队):47.72%。 对于“Philadelphia Phillies (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.095。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.100,对应+0.217%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -3.81%E -2.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV +0.217%E +0.103%K +0.197%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 23:00
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.737%E -0.355%K -0.683%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 23:05
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.21%E -0.587%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.21%E -0.587%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 23:05
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.21%E -0.587%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -1.72%E -0.914%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.69%E -0.821%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-31 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.69%E -0.821%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-31 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.69%E -0.821%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-31 22:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.69%E -0.821%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-31 22:10
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.69%E -0.821%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-31 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 23:00
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.20%E -0.632%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.65%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 22:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.65%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.65%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 22:54
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.38%E -2.97%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.12%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 23:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.38%E -2.97%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:55
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.38%E -2.97%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:54
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.38%E -2.97%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.38%E -2.97%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:54
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.38%E -2.97%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:55
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.38%E -2.97%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 22:59
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 22:55
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 23:04
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 12:09
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 23:00
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 22:58
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 22:59
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 21:45
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.38%E -2.97%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.38%E -2.97%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 23:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 23:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 22:24
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.03%E -2.53%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:55
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 23:00
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 23:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.99%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 23:04
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:05
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 23:04
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 23:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.42%E -3.82%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.42%E -3.82%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 23:03
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -9.04%E -5.19%K -12.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -7.42%E -3.82%K -7.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-31 22:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%0.1%2026-07-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-07-31 23:05
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-31 22:20
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-31 23:00
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-31 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-31 23:05
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-31 23:05
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-07-31 23:00
BetOpenly◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-07-31 22:54