默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Baltimore Orioles v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-31 23:06 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Baltimore Orioles (主队)

预测 52.32%1.91公平赔率
EV -2.16%
优势 -1.15%
Kelly -2.48%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
51.59%52.30%52.30%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.811.801.8757.14%55.20%55.56%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 47.68%2.10公平赔率
EV -1.79%
优势 -0.867%
Kelly -1.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.06

博彩公司预测分布
47.37%47.70%47.70%48.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.921.992.002.0652.08%50.24%50.00%48.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.16%E -1.15%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.79%E -0.867%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 00:03
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.69%E -1.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 23:40
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.17%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 23:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 23:45
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 23:44
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 23:45
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 01:09
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.60%E -2.83%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:44
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.60%E -2.83%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:44
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.60%E -2.83%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:04
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.03%E -3.61%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 00:05
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.77%E -2.62%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.69%E -1.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 23:50
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.30%E -2.93%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 23:54
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:40
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:38
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:45
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:50
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:49
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 00:05
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 01:09
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.60%E -2.83%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 23:43
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.03%E -3.61%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 23:43
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.03%E -3.61%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 23:44
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.91%E -4.50%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -7.51%E -3.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 01:09
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.43%E -4.82%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -8.46%E -4.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-30 23:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-31 01:50
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-30 23:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-31 00:05
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%3.2%2026-07-31 01:45
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%10.1%2026-07-30 23:45