Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 23:06 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 5–6 Milwaukee Brewers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 43.72%2.29fair odd
EV +1.87%
Edge +0.804%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.04%43.71%43.73%45.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.162.3348.78%46.08%46.30%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 56.28%1.78fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.92%56.29%56.27%57.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.701.701.7462.11%58.75%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 43.72%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 56.28%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +1.87%E +0.804%K +1.41%G +0.026%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -4.89%E -2.89%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-18 15:03
BetOnline.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.751%E -0.331%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.751%E -0.331%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-18 15:24
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.19%E -0.526%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-18 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.63%E -0.722%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.89%E -2.89%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-18 14:15
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.63%E -0.722%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 14:25
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.06%E -0.921%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-18 15:14
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.06%E -0.921%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-18 15:05
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.20%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-18 02:59
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 06:15
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 03:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 06:14
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 15:24
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 10:14
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 15:05
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 10:10
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 10:10
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.89%E -2.89%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 14:19
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.89%E -2.89%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 11:09
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 07:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 05:10
DraftKings🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.25%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.89%E -2.89%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 14:40
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.69%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.20%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.69%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 06:14
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.69%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 07:45
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.69%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.89%E -2.89%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 15:04
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 07:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.89%E -2.89%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 15:05
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.89%E -2.89%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 15:05
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.89%E -2.89%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.56%E -2.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.45%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.20%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:05
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.20%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:05
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 11:10
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 02:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 02:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 02:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:55
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 07:49
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.45%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 06:15
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 10:10
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 06:15
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 06:13
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 06:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.58%E -3.96%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 14:40
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:50
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:49
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:50
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 13:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 11:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-09-18 14:30
BetOpenly◎2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-09-18 15:25
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-09-18 15:10
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-09-18 14:15
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-18 12:25
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-09-18 15:19
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-09-18 14:15