Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-09-18 23:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 43.98%2.27fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.04%43.86%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.2050.00%46.37%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 56.02%1.79fair odd
EV -0.287%
Edge -0.161%
Kelly -0.367%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%55.96%56.14%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.701.711.7862.50%58.88%58.65%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 43.98%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 56.02%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.78, with an expected value of -0.287%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-18 02:59
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 06:15
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 03:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 06:14
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 03:15
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 03:15
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 03:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 03:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 03:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 03:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 03:20
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 03:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 03:20
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 03:20
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 03:20
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 05:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 07:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 05:10
DraftKings🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.68%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 06:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 06:14
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 06:15
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -0.287%E -0.161%K -0.367%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-18 07:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -7.01%E -4.22%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 03:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -7.01%E -4.22%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 03:15
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 06:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 06:14
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 06:14
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 06:14
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 02:55
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 06:19
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 06:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 02:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 02:55
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 06:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 06:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 06:15
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 06:15
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 06:13
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 06:15
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.88%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 06:15
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -6.32%E -2.97%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 06:14
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 06:15
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 06:15
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 06:13
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 03:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.20%E -3.41%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 06:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 06:14
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 06:15
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 06:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 06:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 06:14
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 02:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 06:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.37%E -6.48%K -17.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 06:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-09-18 06:20
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-18 06:20
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-18 06:50
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-09-18 06:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-09-18 06:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-09-18 06:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-09-18 06:50
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%3.9%2026-09-18 06:55
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%4.3%2026-09-18 06:50