Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-09-18 23:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Predicción 43.99%2.27momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.07%43.88%45.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2050.00%46.50%46.51%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 56.01%1.79momio equitativo
EV -0.307%
Ventaja -0.172%
Kelly -0.394%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%55.93%56.12%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.701.711.7862.50%58.68%58.48%56.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 43.99%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 56.01%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.79. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.78, con un valor esperado de -0.307%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-18 02:59
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 06:15
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 03:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 06:14
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 07:50
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 07:35
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 05:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 05:10
DraftKings🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.35%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 06:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 06:14
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 07:45
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 06:15
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -0.307%E -0.172%K -0.394%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-18 07:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 07:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 07:59
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 08:00
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 07:44
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 08:00
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 07:59
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 07:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 07:59
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 07:59
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.99%E -1.14%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 07:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.55%E -1.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.11%E -1.80%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 07:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.11%E -1.80%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 07:49
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 06:14
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 02:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 02:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 02:55
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 07:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:55
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 07:49
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 08:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 06:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 06:15
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 06:15
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 06:13
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 06:15
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.99%E -1.14%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 06:15
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -6.30%E -2.96%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -2.55%E -1.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 06:14
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 07:55
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 07:54
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 07:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 08:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.18%E -3.40%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.11%E -1.80%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 06:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.11%E -1.80%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 06:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.11%E -1.80%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 06:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.11%E -1.80%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 07:49
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 02:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 06:14
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.50%E -4.08%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 07:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.01%E -6.01%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.39%E -6.49%K -17.31%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 06:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-09-18 06:20
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-18 06:20
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-18 06:50
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-09-18 06:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-09-18 06:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-09-18 06:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-09-18 06:50
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-09-18 07:35
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%4.3%2026-09-18 06:50