Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles v Detroit Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 20:06 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 52.58%1.90fair odd
EV +0.429%
Edge +0.225%
Kelly +0.472%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.26%52.57%52.49%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.831.9157.14%54.48%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 47.42%2.11fair odd
EV -0.420%
Edge -0.200%
Kelly -0.381%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%47.43%47.51%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.002.002.1052.08%50.10%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 52.58%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 47.42%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.429%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +0.429%E +0.225%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 15:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +0.429%E +0.225%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +0.429%E +0.225%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 15:49
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-23 16:59
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 15:49
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 15:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 15:49
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 15:49
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 15:49
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 15:49
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 15:49
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.96%E -4.66%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 15:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.96%E -4.66%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 15:49
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.96%E -4.66%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.96%E -4.66%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 15:49
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.67%E -0.895%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 15:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.20%E -1.18%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 16:59
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.37%E -0.658%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 15:49
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.37%E -0.658%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 15:49
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.37%E -0.658%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 15:48
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.84%E -0.890%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.84%E -0.890%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 15:49
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 16:59
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -3.25%E -1.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -0.420%E -0.200%K -0.381%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-23 15:49
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.894%E -0.428%K -0.820%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-23 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 16:59
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 16:58
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 16:59
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 16:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 05:29
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 15:49
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 13:29
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 16:58
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 16:59
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 15:49
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.30%E -2.36%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 15:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.30%E -2.36%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.64%E -2.83%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.30%E -2.36%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.64%E -2.83%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 15:49
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 15:46
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 15:49
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 15:49
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 15:48
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.21%E -2.09%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 16:09
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 02:19
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 23:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 02:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 02:19
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 15:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 16:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.06%E -3.60%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 16:58
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.88%E -3.29%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.26%E -1.60%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 16:10
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.41%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.41%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.98%E -4.56%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.90I 52.63%NM 52.97%2.14I 46.73%NM 47.03%-0.6%2026-05-23 16:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-05-23 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-05-23 16:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-05-23 16:50
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%0.6%2026-05-23 16:39
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-23 15:50
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-23 16:50
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-05-23 15:49
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-05-23 16:50
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-05-23 16:50