Baltimore Orioles v Detroit Tigers

Inicio: 2026-05-23 20:06 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

53%

47%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Predicción 52.58%1.90momio equitativo

EV +0.429%

Ventaja +0.225%

Kelly +0.472%

Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

50.26%52.57%52.49%53.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.751.841.831.9157.14%54.48%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 47.42%2.11momio equitativo

EV -0.420%

Ventaja -0.200%

Kelly -0.381%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

46.05%47.43%47.51%49.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.922.002.002.1052.08%50.10%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Unibet (SE)	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +0.429%E +0.225%K +0.472%G +0.002%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-23 15:49
Unibet (NL)	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +0.429%E +0.225%K +0.472%G +0.002%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-23 15:49
Svenska Spel	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +0.429%E +0.225%K +0.472%G +0.002%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-23 15:49
1xBet	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-05-23 16:59
Casumo	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-23 15:49
LeoVegas	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-23 15:49
LeoVegas (SE)	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-23 15:49
Unibet	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-23 15:49
betPARX	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-23 15:49
ATG (SE)	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-23 15:49
Grosvenor	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-23 15:49
Bally Bet	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-23 15:49
BetRivers	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.96%E -4.66%K -9.73%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-23 15:49
LiveScore Bet	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.96%E -4.66%K -9.73%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-23 15:49
TABtouch	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.96%E -4.66%K -9.73%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-23 15:49
Virgin Bet	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.15%E -0.611%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.96%E -4.66%K -9.73%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-23 15:49
Paddy Power	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.67%E -0.895%K -1.92%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-23 15:49
MyBookie.ag	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.20%E -1.18%K -2.56%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-05-23 16:59
GTbets	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.37%E -0.658%K -1.27%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-05-23 15:49
BetAnything	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.37%E -0.658%K -1.27%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-05-23 15:49
Everygame	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.37%E -0.658%K -1.27%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-05-23 15:48
LowVig.ag	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.84%E -0.890%K -1.72%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-05-23 15:49
BetOnline.ag	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.84%E -0.890%K -1.72%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-05-23 15:49
FanDuel	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-23 15:49
TAB	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-23 16:59
Pinnacle	1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -3.25%E -1.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -0.420%E -0.200%K -0.381%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-05-23 15:49
BetUS	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.894%E -0.428%K -0.820%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-05-23 16:39
PointsBet (AU)	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-23 16:59
ReBet	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-23 16:59
Unibet (UK)	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-23 16:58
Bet Right	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-23 16:59
Betway	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-23 16:58
Hard Rock Bet	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-23 05:29
SportsBet	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-23 15:49
PlayUp	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-23 13:29
NordicBet	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-23 16:58
Betsson	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-23 16:59
Fliff	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-23 15:49
Coolbet	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.30%E -2.36%K -5.25%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-23 15:49
Betr (AU)	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.30%E -2.36%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.64%E -2.83%K -5.69%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-23 16:59
Marathon Bet	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.30%E -2.36%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.64%E -2.83%K -5.69%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-23 16:59
Fanatics	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-23 16:55
theScore Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-23 15:49
Caesars	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-23 15:46
Coral	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-23 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-23 15:49
BetMGM	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-23 15:49
Bovada	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-23 15:48
Dabble (AU)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.21%E -2.09%K -4.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-23 16:09
888sport	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-23 02:19
William Hill	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-22 23:09
888sport (SE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-23 02:19
Mr Green (SE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-23 02:19
BoyleSports	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-23 15:49
Unibet (FR)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.23%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-23 16:58
Winamax (DE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.23%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-23 16:59
Winamax (FR)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.06%E -3.60%K -7.35%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-23 16:58
Bet Victor	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-23 16:59
DraftKings	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.88%E -3.29%K -7.44%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.26%E -1.60%K -3.14%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-23 16:10
Neds	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.41%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-23 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.41%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-23 15:49
Tipico (DE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.98%E -4.56%K -10.64%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-23 15:49

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
BetOpenly	1.90I 52.63%NM 52.97%	2.14I 46.73%NM 47.03%	-0.6%	2026-05-23 16:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%	0.4%	2026-05-23 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%	0.4%	2026-05-23 16:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%	0.4%	2026-05-23 16:50
Novig	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%	2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%	0.6%	2026-05-23 16:39
Polymarket	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.0%	2026-05-23 15:50
ProphetX	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.0%	2026-05-23 16:50
Kalshi	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%	1.9%	2026-05-23 15:49
Smarkets	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%	2.5%	2026-05-23 16:50
Matchbook	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%	3.0%	2026-05-23 16:50