Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.72
assuming max odds 2.34
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 57.14%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 42.86%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.296%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV +0.296%E +0.127%K +0.221%G +0.001% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 22:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.29%E -1.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 22:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.29%E -1.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.85%E -0.806%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.86%E -1.69%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.85%E -0.806%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.72%E -1.00%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.29%E -1.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.29%E -1.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -2.86%E -1.69%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.86%E -1.69%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.44%E -2.03%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.44%E -2.03%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 20:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.44%E -2.03%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 20:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 21:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 20:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 20:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 21:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.29%E -3.84%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.99%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 17:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.99%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.99%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 22:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.15%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.99%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.44%E -2.03%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.85%E -2.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.85%E -2.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.28%E -2.39%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.86%E -1.69%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 17:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.86%E -1.69%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 17:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.15%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.15%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.29%E -3.84%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.99%E -3.22%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.29%E -1.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.29%E -3.84%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 20:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.86%E -4.21%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.28%E -3.87%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.86%E -1.69%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 42.03% | -0.9% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 21:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 21:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 21:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 20:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 22:09 |