Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Chicago White Sox

Inicio: 2026-06-30 22:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 3–9 Chicago White Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Predicción 57.14%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -2.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%57.13%57.14%58.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.681.7262.50%59.73%59.52%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 42.86%2.33momio equitativo
EV +0.296%
Ventaja +0.127%
Kelly +0.221%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.79%42.87%42.86%44.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.232.232.3447.62%44.85%44.84%42.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 57.14%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 42.86%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.33. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.34, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.296%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV +0.296%E +0.127%K +0.221%G +0.001%2.3%2026-06-30 22:10
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.29%E -1.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 22:09
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.29%E -1.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.85%E -0.806%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 21:59
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.86%E -1.69%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.85%E -0.806%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-30 21:29
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.72%E -1.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.29%E -1.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-30 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.29%E -1.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-30 22:00
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -2.86%E -1.69%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-30 20:49
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.86%E -1.69%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 22:29
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.44%E -2.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.44%E -2.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 20:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.44%E -2.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 20:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 20:49
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 21:09
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 20:39
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 20:39
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:29
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 21:10
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 21:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.29%E -3.84%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 21:20
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.99%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 17:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.99%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 20:49
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.99%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.15%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.99%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 22:30
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 22:29
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 22:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 22:29
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 22:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 22:29
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 22:29
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 22:30
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.44%E -2.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.85%E -2.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 17:09
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.85%E -2.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.28%E -2.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 20:49
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.86%E -1.69%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.86%E -1.69%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 17:39
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 17:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:29
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:29
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.15%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.15%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 20:09
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:40
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.29%E -3.84%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.99%E -3.22%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 22:29
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.29%E -1.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 22:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.29%E -3.84%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.86%E -4.21%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.28%E -3.87%K -7.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.86%E -1.69%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 16:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 57.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 42.03%-0.9%2026-06-30 22:19
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-30 21:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-30 21:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-30 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-30 21:40
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-30 21:00
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-30 22:30
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-30 20:39
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-06-30 22:30
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-06-30 22:09