Language:English
Baltimore Orioles v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 45.16%2.21fair odd
EV +1.61%
Edge +0.716%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.61%45.13%45.17%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.112.102.2549.50%47.48%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 54.84%1.82fair odd
EV -0.192%
Edge -0.105%
Kelly -0.234%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.87%54.83%56.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.751.8259.52%57.28%57.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 45.16%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 54.84%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.61%E +0.716%K +1.29%G +0.021% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.196%E -0.088%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.00%E -0.923%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.00%E -0.923%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 14:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.45%E -1.14%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.45%E -1.14%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 16:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 14:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.32%E -4.33%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.36%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -3.81%E -1.79%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.192%E -0.105%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 14:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.71%E -2.23%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 14:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 14:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 02:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 14:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 14:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -6.52%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.52%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.52%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.52%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.52%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.97%E -3.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 17:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.32%E -4.33%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.78%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -7.87%E -4.68%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09% | -0.1% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |