默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Baltimore Orioles v Boston Red Sox

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 17:38 UTC

最终结果: Baltimore Orioles 1–3 Boston Red Sox

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Baltimore Orioles (主队)

预测 45.16%2.21公平赔率
EV +1.61%
优势 +0.716%
Kelly +1.29%
增长率 +0.021%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
43.61%45.13%45.17%46.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.022.112.102.2549.50%47.48%47.62%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Boston Red Sox (客队)

预测 54.84%1.82公平赔率
EV -0.192%
优势 -0.105%
Kelly -0.234%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.82

博彩公司预测分布
53.66%54.87%54.83%56.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.751.751.8259.52%57.28%57.14%54.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Baltimore Orioles (主队):45.16%;Boston Red Sox (客队):54.84%。 对于“Baltimore Orioles (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.21。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.25,对应+1.61%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.61%E +0.716%K +1.29%G +0.021%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-06 17:20
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.196%E -0.088%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 17:30
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.00%E -0.923%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-06 17:25
Everygame🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.00%E -0.923%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-06 14:13
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.45%E -1.14%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-06 16:35
theScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.45%E -1.14%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 17:25
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-06 17:25
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 14:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 16:30
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 14:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 16:50
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.32%E -4.33%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 15:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.36%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 15:35
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -3.81%E -1.79%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.192%E -0.105%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-06 16:55
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 17:30
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 14:39
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 14:25
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 14:05
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 14:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.71%E -2.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 14:43
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 16:55
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 16:55
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 16:55
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 16:55
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 17:05
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 14:09
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 02:20
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 17:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 14:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 14:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 15:10
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 14:09
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 16:55
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -6.52%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 17:29
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.52%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:54
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.52%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.52%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.52%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.97%E -3.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 16:50
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 16:55
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.13%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 15:10
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 17:25
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.32%E -4.33%K -10.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 17:10
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.78%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -7.87%E -4.68%K -11.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 16:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%-0.1%2026-09-06 17:30
ProphetX◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-09-06 17:30
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-09-06 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-09-06 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-09-06 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-09-06 17:30
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-06 15:25
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-09-06 17:30
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-09-06 17:30
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.4%2026-09-06 17:30