Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.73
assuming max odds 2.33
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 57.23%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 42.77%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.33, with an expected value of -0.353%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.987%E -0.570%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.56%E -0.907%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.49%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.13%E -1.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.35%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 21:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.21%E -0.523%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 14:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 23:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.353%E -0.151%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.353%E -0.151%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.21%E -0.523%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.21%E -0.523%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 17:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.06%E -2.28%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 21:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.06%E -2.28%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 23:07 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 21:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.77%E -3.10%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.77%E -3.10%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 16:48 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -0.353%E -0.151%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 22:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.49%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.49%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.49%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.49%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 22:47 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.28%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.28%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.43%E -5.27%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 19:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.43%E -5.27%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 19:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89% | 0.1% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 15:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |