La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v St. Louis Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-06-30 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 3–5 St. Louis Cardinals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 57.23%1.75momio equitativo
EV -0.987%
Ventaja -0.570%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%57.25%57.25%58.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.671.7362.50%60.13%59.88%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 42.77%2.34momio equitativo
EV -0.353%
Ventaja -0.151%
Kelly -0.265%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.75%42.75%44.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3347.62%44.41%44.44%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.987%E -0.570%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 21:29
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.56%E -0.907%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.49%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 23:10
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.13%E -1.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.35%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-30 21:09
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.21%E -0.523%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 14:39
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 14:49
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 23:08
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.353%E -0.151%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 23:09
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.353%E -0.151%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.21%E -0.523%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-30 23:09
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.21%E -0.523%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-30 23:09
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 23:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 17:19
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 14:50
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.06%E -2.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 21:30
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.06%E -2.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 23:07
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 21:20
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 16:59
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 21:29
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 22:59
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:29
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.77%E -3.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:49
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.77%E -3.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:49
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 22:59
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 22:59
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 22:59
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 22:59
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 16:49
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 23:09
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:48
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:59
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -0.353%E -0.151%K -0.265%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 23:09
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 22:09
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:59
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:59
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:59
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:39
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 23:10
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 23:10
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 23:10
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 23:09
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 23:09
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 16:50
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.49%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 23:10
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.49%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 23:09
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.49%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 23:09
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.49%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 23:09
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 22:47
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.28%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 22:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.28%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 21:29
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.43%E -5.27%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.64%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 19:39
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.43%E -5.27%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 19:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%0.1%2026-06-30 23:10
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-30 23:00
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-30 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-30 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-30 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-30 23:10
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-06-30 23:09
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-30 15:00
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-30 23:10
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-06-30 22:40