默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies

开赛时间： 2026-09-13 17:38 UTC

最终结果： Atlanta Braves 4–9 Philadelphia Phillies

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

54%

46%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves (主队)

预测 54.14%1.85公平赔率

EV -1.46%

优势 -0.802%

Kelly -1.78%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.82

博彩公司预测分布

52.88%54.10%54.20%55.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.671.761.761.8259.88%56.85%56.82%54.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 45.86%2.18公平赔率

EV -1.41%

优势 -0.655%

Kelly -1.22%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布

44.74%45.90%45.80%47.12%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.002.082.102.1550.00%48.02%47.62%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Atlanta Braves (主队)：54.14%；Philadelphia Phillies (客队)：45.86%。对于“Philadelphia Phillies (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.18。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.15，期望值为-1.41%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.46%E -0.802%K -1.78%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-09-13 17:19
Pinnacle🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.46%E -0.802%K -1.78%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-09-13 17:15
GTbets🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.41%E -0.655%K -1.22%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-13 14:51
BetUS🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-13 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-13 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-13 14:51
BetAnything🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.92%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-09-13 14:50
Fanatics🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 23:15
TAB🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 15:21
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.37%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-13 15:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.16%E -1.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-13 15:20
Bovada🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.08%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 15:20
Betsson🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.91%E -3.40%K -6.71%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 15:20
NordicBet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.91%E -3.40%K -6.71%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 15:20
FanDuel🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 11:25
ReBet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 12:15
Betway🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 23:45
BetMGM🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 17:05
theScore Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 18:50
Caesars🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 14:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 19:15
betfred_uk🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 13:00
PlayUp🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 15:15
Neds🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 15:25
DraftKings🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.16%E -1.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 15:15
Bet Right🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.62%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-13 14:40
Coolbet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.62%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-13 14:40
SportsBet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.08%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.53%E -2.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-13 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-13 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 15:25
Coral🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 15:25
LeoVegas🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.62%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-13 12:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-13 17:25
888sport🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-13 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-13 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-13 14:40
Paddy Power🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.29%E -4.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-13 15:10
Bet Victor🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.29%E -4.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-13 17:24
betano_uk🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.29%E -4.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-13 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-13 16:40
BetRivers🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-13 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-13 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-13 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.29%E -4.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-13 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 16:39
Casumo🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 16:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 16:38
ATG (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 16:40
betPARX🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 16:40
Unibet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 16:40
William Hill🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 01:25
BoyleSports🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-13 12:15
TABtouch🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.87%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.87%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.83%E -3.89%K -7.75%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-13 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-13 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-13 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-13 11:45
Grosvenor🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.30%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-09-13 16:40

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%	2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%	0.5%	2026-09-13 17:20
Matchbook◎	1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%	0.6%	2026-09-13 17:30
ProphetX◎	1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%	0.6%	2026-09-13 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%	2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%	0.9%	2026-09-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%	2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%	0.9%	2026-09-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%	2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%	0.9%	2026-09-13 17:25
Kalshi◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%	1.0%	2026-09-13 07:01
Polymarket◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%	1.0%	2026-09-13 13:25
Novig◎	1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%	1.2%	2026-09-13 17:30
Smarkets◎	1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%	2.0%	2026-09-13 17:20

Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies

胜负盘

Atlanta Braves (主队)

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)