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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-09-13 17:38 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 4–9 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 54.14%1.85odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -0.802%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.88%54.10%54.20%55.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.761.761.8259.88%56.85%56.82%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 45.86%2.18odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.655%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.74%45.90%45.80%47.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.082.102.1550.00%48.02%47.62%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Braves (Local): 54.14%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 45.86%. Para Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.18. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.15, com valor esperado de -1.41%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.46%E -0.802%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-13 17:19
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.46%E -0.802%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-13 17:15
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.41%E -0.655%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 14:51
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 14:51
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 14:50
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 23:15
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:21
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.37%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 15:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.16%E -1.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 15:20
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.08%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 15:20
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.91%E -3.40%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.91%E -3.40%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 11:25
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 12:15
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 23:45
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 18:50
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 14:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:15
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 13:00
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:15
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.16%E -1.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.62%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.62%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.08%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.53%E -2.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 15:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.62%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 12:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 17:25
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.29%E -4.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 15:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.29%E -4.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:24
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.29%E -4.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.29%E -4.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:39
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:38
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:40
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:40
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:40
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 01:25
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.87%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.87%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.83%E -3.89%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 11:45
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 16:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-09-13 17:20
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-09-13 17:30
ProphetX◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-09-13 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-09-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-09-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-09-13 17:25
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-13 07:01
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-13 13:25
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-09-13 17:30
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-09-13 17:20