L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 17:38 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Braves 4–9 Philadelphia Phillies

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 54.14%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.802%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.88%54.10%54.20%55.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.761.761.8259.88%56.85%56.82%54.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.86%2.18cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.655%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.74%45.90%45.80%47.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.082.102.1550.00%48.02%47.62%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlanta Braves (Local) : 54.14% ; Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur) : 45.86%. Pour Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.18. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.15, pour une espérance de -1.41% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.46%E -0.802%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-13 17:19
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.46%E -0.802%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-13 17:15
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.41%E -0.655%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 14:51
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 14:51
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 14:50
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 23:15
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:21
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.37%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 15:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.16%E -1.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 15:20
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.08%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 15:20
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.91%E -3.40%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.91%E -3.40%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 11:25
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 12:15
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 23:45
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 18:50
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 14:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:15
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 13:00
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:15
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.16%E -1.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.62%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.62%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.08%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.53%E -2.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 15:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.62%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 12:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 17:25
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.29%E -4.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 15:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.29%E -4.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:24
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.29%E -4.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.87%E -0.872%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.29%E -4.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:39
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:38
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:40
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:40
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:40
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 01:25
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.87%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.87%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.83%E -3.89%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 11:45
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-09-13 17:20
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-09-13 17:30
ProphetX◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-09-13 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-09-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-09-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-09-13 17:25
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-13 07:01
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-13 13:25
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-09-13 17:30
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-09-13 17:20