Language:English
Atlanta Braves v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Prediction 62.14%1.61fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.757%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.45%62.17%62.03%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.21%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 37.86%2.64fair odd
EV -0.039%
Edge -0.015%
Kelly -0.024%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%37.83%37.97%39.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.392.532.522.6441.84%39.45%39.60%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 62.14%; New York Mets (Visit): 37.86%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.641. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.640, with an expected value of -0.039%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.20%E -0.757%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-12 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%EV -1.20%E -0.757%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%EV -2.31%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.83%E -1.16%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.31%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.45%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 22:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.45%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 22:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -0.039%E -0.015%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.796%E -0.304%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.796%E -0.304%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 21:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.796%E -0.304%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 19:06 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 21:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.58%E -1.82%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 14:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 21:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 15:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 15:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -0.418%E -0.159%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -0.418%E -0.159%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 22:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 14:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 15:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 23:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 23:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.20%E -1.66%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-12 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -9.51%E -3.98%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-12 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 17:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 20:47 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 23:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 23:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.90%E -6.83%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 63.11% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.89% | -0.3% | 2026-08-12 22:19 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32% | 0.3% | 2026-08-12 21:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 15:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 23:10 |