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Atlanta Braves v New York Mets
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Predicción 62.14%1.61momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.757%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.45%62.17%62.03%63.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.21%65.36%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Mets (Visitante)
Predicción 37.86%2.64momio equitativo
EV -0.039%
Ventaja -0.015%
Kelly -0.024%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%37.83%37.97%39.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.392.532.522.6441.84%39.45%39.60%37.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlanta Braves (Local): 62.14%; New York Mets (Visitante): 37.86%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.641. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.640, con un valor esperado de -0.039%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.20%E -0.757%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-12 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%EV -1.20%E -0.757%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%EV -2.31%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.83%E -1.16%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.31%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.45%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 22:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.45%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 22:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -0.039%E -0.015%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.796%E -0.304%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.796%E -0.304%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 21:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.796%E -0.304%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 19:06 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 21:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.58%E -1.82%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 14:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 21:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 15:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 15:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -0.418%E -0.159%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -0.418%E -0.159%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 22:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 14:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 15:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 23:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 23:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.20%E -1.66%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-12 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -9.51%E -3.98%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-12 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.55%E -0.598%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 17:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 20:47 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 23:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 23:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.90%E -6.83%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 63.11% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.89% | -0.3% | 2026-08-12 22:19 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32% | 0.3% | 2026-08-12 21:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 15:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 23:10 |