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Atlanta Braves v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Prediction 63.32%1.58fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.34%63.29%63.41%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.28%66.23%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 36.68%2.73fair odd
EV -0.969%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.570%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%36.71%36.59%37.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.612.602.7040.00%38.38%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 63.32%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 36.68%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.969%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.85%E -1.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.07%E -0.775%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.59%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.34%E -0.497%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 23:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -2.07%E -0.775%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 21:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.969%E -0.359%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.969%E -0.359%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.34%E -0.497%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-12 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.34%E -0.497%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-12 23:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.44%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 19:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -5.00%E -1.93%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:23 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 10:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.74%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.74%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 10:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 10:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.00%E -1.93%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 19:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 23:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 23:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.28%E -4.25%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 05:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-04-12 23:19 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 23:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 23:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 72.92% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 27.08% | 35.8% | 2026-04-12 23:20 |