A Escola das Odds

Atlanta Braves v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-04-12 23:21 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 13–1 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 63.32%1.58odd justa
EV -1.85%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -3.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.34%63.29%63.41%64.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.28%66.23%64.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 36.68%2.73odd justa
EV -0.969%
Vantagem -0.359%
Kelly -0.570%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.47%36.71%36.59%37.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.612.602.7040.00%38.38%38.46%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.85%E -1.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.07%E -0.775%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-12 22:40
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.59%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.34%E -0.497%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 23:15
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -2.07%E -0.775%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 21:34
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.969%E -0.359%K -0.570%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 23:10
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.969%E -0.359%K -0.570%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 22:44
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.34%E -0.497%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 23:20
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.34%E -0.497%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 23:20
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.44%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 22:20
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 22:40
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 19:35
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -5.00%E -1.93%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:20
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:35
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:23
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 22:49
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 22:40
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 10:20
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 23:04
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:50
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:49
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:50
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:45
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:50
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:45
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:50
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:45
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:55
Fanatics1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 10:30
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.74%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:50
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.74%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:45
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:49
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:40
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:35
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 22:39
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 22:35
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 23:09
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 10:24
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 10:25
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:40
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:40
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:40
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 10:29
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.00%E -1.93%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 22:35
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 19:24
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 19:25
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 19:25
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 13:35
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 23:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.02%E -3.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 23:19
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 23:20
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.28%E -4.25%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 22:45
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 05:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 20:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-04-12 23:19
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-04-12 22:50
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-04-12 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-04-12 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-04-12 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-04-12 23:15
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-04-12 23:15
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.9%2026-04-12 23:20
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-04-12 23:20
ProphetX1.01I 99.01%NM 72.92%2.72I 36.76%NM 27.08%35.8%2026-04-12 23:20